Exportações chinesas
USDA STAFF AND NOT NECESSARILY STATEMENTS OF OFFICIAL U.S. GOVERNMENT
POLICY
Required Report - public distribution
Date: 2/27/2012
GAIN Report Number: 12017
China - Peoples Republic of
Livestock and Products Semi-annual
Approved By:
Laura Scandurra
Prepared By:
Ryan R. Scott and Zhang Jianping
Report Highlights:
The Office of Agricultural Affairs in Beijing (OAA/Beijing) revised the 2012 forecast for China’s beef production upward by 24,000 metric tons (MT), carcass weight equivalent (CWE), to 5.5 million metric tons (MMT). The increase reflects fewer than expected outbreaks of foot and mouth disease (FMD), as well as higher slaughter weights, which were driven by improved feed quality. Cattle exports are expected to increase 13 percent to
33,000 head, largely due to growing demand from slaughter facilities in Hong Kong and Macau. The revised forecast for pork production is 51.6 MMT, a nominal increase from the initial 2012 estimate of 51.2 MMT. The pork import estimate remains unchanged and imports are still expected to fall 26 percent to 560,000 MT.
China’s rising pork production and lower domestic prices in 2012 are expected to limit imports. The swine import estimate remains unchanged because China’s new import policy could hinder trade.
Cattle/Beef:
Animal Numbers, Cattle
Market Year: Jan
2010
USDA
Total Cattle Beg. Stks
Dairy Cows Beg. Stocks
Beef Cows Beg. Stocks
Production (Calf Crop)
Total Imports
Total Supply
Total Exports
Cow Slaughter
Calf Slaughter
Other Slaughter
Total Slaughter
Loss
Ending Inventories
Total Distribution
CY Imp. from U.S.
CY. Exp. to U.S.
Balance
Inventory Balance
Inventory Change
Cow Change
Production Change
Production to Cows
Slaughter to Inventory
Slaughter to Total Supply
TS=TD
New Post
105,430
12,603
47,000
41,500
85
147,015
36
0
0
41,170
41,170
995
104,814
147,015
0
0
0