Holt Winters

1. sem. 2004 49 COLLE, François-Xavier. Les drogues en vente libre. Pour ou contre la dépénalisation? Issy-les-Moulineux: Éditions Prat, 2000. DAEDALUS. Political pharmacology: thinking about rugs. Daedalus, Cambridge (MA), v. 121, n. 3, winter 1992. DAVENPORT-HINES, Richard. The pursuit of oblivion. A global history of narcotics (1500-2000). London: Weidenfeld & Nicolson, 2001. ______. Délits d’immigration. ARSS, Paris, n. 129, set. 1999. DELMAS-MARTY, Mireille. Trois…

this as “Spiritual Agenda 21,” a six-year vision that “will be revised and revisited by the next Global Assembly in 2005 and made into a public document by 2008.” (Dennis Delman, “Peacebuilding Permeates First Global Assembly,” Pacific Church News, Winter 2003, p5.) Global Council member Donald Frew said that Spiritual Agenda 21 “was accepted as a work in progress and a Global Council Committee — the Action Agenda Committee — was created to pursue this. The result has been that the 6…

society is in the process of becoming a total society, e.g., a society in which no single act can be a matter of indifference; every act and feeling assumes a political character; no act is purely personal. Not to participate in Hitler's Wlnterhilfe (winter collection for the poor), not to participate in the national enthusiasm in some new African State, not to tuke an interest in the problem of school systems in France in 1959. is no longer an individual act but a breaking of ties with…

ocasião que ele esperava impacientemente para agregar o Sudão às suas possessões. Deste modo, 1 Para um estudo mais detalhado desta questão, ver Y. F. Hasan, 1967. 3 Para maior precisão, ver História Geral da África, vol. V, cap. 7 2 P. M. Holt, 1973, p. 67. 412 África do século XIX à década de 1880 Figura 14.1 O Sudão sob o domínio turco, 1820­‑1881 (segundo H. A. Ibrāhīm) O Sudão no século XIX 413 começou o primeiro período de domínio colonial que o Sudão conheceu…

médias de médias. O alisamento exponencial duplo é uma derivação dessa técnica que implica considerar também ponderações. O método de Holt faz parte dessas técnicas. Além de considerar a tendência, dados não estacionários podem adicionalmente apresentar sazonalidade. Aqui também os efeitos sazonais podem ser de natureza aditiva ou multiplicativa. O método de Holt-Winter é outra técnica que pode ser aplicada a séries temporais que exibem efeitos de tendência e sazonalidade. Alguns…

swore he could not live without this girl or that; he forgot Catherine for weeks at a time and she never reminded him. He had always come back to her, suddenly, inexplicably, as he did tonight. Her mother, a gentle little schoolteacher, had died last winter. Catherine had gone to live with an uncle in New York. Keating had answered some of her letters 42 immediately, others--months later. She had always replied at once, and never written during his long silences, waiting patiently.…

Robert T. German Strategy and the Path to Verdun: Erich von Falkenhayn and the Development of Attrition, 1870-1916 (Cambridge University Press, 2005). Gilbert, Martin. The Somme: Heroism and Horror in the First World War (New York: Henry Holt, 2006). Hart, Peter. The Somme: The Darkest Hour on the Western Front (New York: Pegasus Books, 2008). Leese, Peter. Shell-Shock: Traumatic Neurosis and the British Soldiers of the First World War (London: Palgrave Macmillan, 2002).…

BENNE, K. D., CHIN, R. The planning change. Holt, Rinehart and Winston Publishers, 1985. BECKHARD, R. Desenvolvimento Organizacional: Estratégias e Modelos. São Paulo: Editora Edgard Blucher, 1972. BOWDITCH, James L., BUONO, Anthony F. Elementos de Comportamento organizacional. São Paulo: Pioneira, 1992. 225 BOYNTON, A. C. Achieving dynamic stability through Information Technology. California Management Review. Berkeley, v. 35, n. 02, p. 58-77, Winter/1993. Brasil. Ministério da…

A Longitudinal Model for Predicting Performance of Police Officers Using Personality and Behavioral Data. Criminal Justice and Behavior, 36, 591-606. Gagné, R. M. (1985). The conditions of learning and theory of instruction (4ª ed.). New York: Holt, Rinchardt and Winston. Hair, J. F., Anderson, R. E., Tatham, R. L. & Black, W. C. (2005). Análise multivariada de dados. Porto Alegre: Artmed. 157 Hamblenton, R. K.; Swaminathan, H. & Rogers, H. J. (1991). Fundamentals of item…

ampliar as ideias teóricas de Governo e Mercado. Por exemplo, muitos de meus artigos sobre a coercibilidade das regras privadas tentam mostrar exatamente isso: STRINGHAM, Edward. “Market Chosen Law”. Journal of Libertarian Studies, Volume 14, Number 1 (Winter, 1998-1999): 53-77; STRINGHAM, Edward. “The Emergence of the London Stock Exchange as a Self-Policing Club”. Journal of Private Enterprise, Volume 17, Number 2 (2002): 1-19; STRINGHAM, Edward. “The Extralegal Development of…